What the Crowd Doesn't Know It Doesn't Know
On prediction markets, a federal docket, and the seductive precision of a number that isn't quite what it seems.
"Prediction is a low form of journalism" is attributed to David Remnick, an editor I've never met — but if I did, I'd want to ask: did he actually say that? Because whoever said it, they ain't wrong.
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Low Form is an independent news outlet in Washington, D.C., dedicated exclusively to covering prediction markets — their platforms, their traders, their regulators, and the policy decisions that shape them.